Bill-Benter-style value board · model probability vs the market line · the XO recommends, the Captain wagers
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How to read it:Model% = each driver’s win probability from recent form (recency-weighted last 4 rounds).
Market% = the line to beat (season-standings implied for now; live FanDuel / bet365 / Pinnacle odds via CDP are the next tap).
Edge = Model − Market; EV = expected return per £1 at the fair price; Kelly% = bankroll fraction.
BACK = model sees more than the market (value); FADE = market overrates; PASS = no edge.
Race Winner — value plays
Driver
Team
Model%
Market%
Fair Odds
Edge
EV
Kelly%
Call
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Bet Ledger (open wagers · settle vs results)
No wagers recorded yet. Per the standing rule the XO never bets — placing & settling rides on the
write route /api/f1/bets (next: a Go endpoint mirroring StarBenter’s /api/starnet/bets).