JAG Predictor
Portia Justice — Fleet Legal Commander / Chief JAG · legal-risk predictor separate from racing predictors
Status
ACTIVE ADVISORY
Chartered and visible, but not a live CLI or WebStar runtime lane.
Predicts
Will this action get the fleet burned?
Terms, copyright/fair use, privacy, licensing, gaming/regulatory, and consumer-protection risk.
Outputs
Verdict · Probability · Failure Mode · Required Action
Green / yellow / red, plus confidence and escalation path.
Interview authority
JAG may interview any Staragent, WebStar, or Skill Agent
Interview findings report back to Portia for legal synthesis, not to the racing boards.
Law engine
Dedicated Portia law engine container
Planned consensus lane to fuse clerk citations, prior dockets, and interviewed-agent findings.
Captain doctrine
Strong, low-visibility governance
Firm internal conclusions, minimal unnecessary public heat, provenance retained inside the fleet.
| Domain | Prediction question | Typical output |
|---|---|---|
| Provider terms | Will this automation, reuse, or routing violate provider terms? | Probability of warning, lockout, suspension, or ban. |
| Copyright / fair use | Is the content use likely fair, licensed, facts-only, or infringing? | Green / yellow / red verdict with cited basis. |
| Privacy / consent | Is the data flow and identity handling likely compliant enough to proceed? | Risk class plus required guardrails. |
| Licensing / redistribution | Can the fleet publish, sell, or downstream this source-derived material? | Allow, revise, block, or pursue license. |
| Gaming / regulatory | Does a workflow cross into regulated wagering or restricted jurisdictions? | Predicted enforcement risk and human-gate requirement. |
| Consumer protection | Do claims, refunds, pricing, or disclosures create avoidable exposure? | Required disclosures, restrictions, and escalation. |
Verdict ladder
| Verdict | Meaning | Expected action |
|---|---|---|
| GREEN | Low predicted legal/compliance friction under current facts and guardrails. | Allow with logging and provenance. |
| YELLOW | Material uncertainty or moderate exposure if guardrails are weak or facts drift. | Revise, constrain, or human-review before proceeding. |
| RED | High predicted risk of takedown, ban, dispute, forfeiture, or counsel-required exposure. | Block or escalate to licensed counsel. |
Scorecard
| Component | Weight | How Portia is judged |
|---|---|---|
| Calibration / accuracy | 40% | Brier-style probability quality once reality is known. |
| Red-risk recall | 30% | How often serious problems were correctly flagged before harm landed. |
| Precision | 20% | How often red/yellow warnings were justified rather than noise. |
| Citation quality | 10% | Whether the cited terms, statutes, cases, or policies were the real basis for the outcome. |
Consensus workflow
| Step | What happens | Owner |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portia frames the legal/compliance question and the risk domain. | Portia |
| 2 | JAG interviews relevant Staragents, WebStars, and Skill Agents for facts, intent, workflow, and enforcement signals. | JAG under Portia |
| 3 | JAG clerks gather statutes, terms, dockets, cases, and policy citations. | JAG clerks |
| 4 | The Portia law engine fuses interview findings, citations, and prior outcomes into a consensus legal-risk call. | Portia law engine |
| 5 | Portia returns the final verdict, confidence, failure mode, and required action. | Portia |
Ground truth events
| Outcome used for scoring | Examples |
|---|---|
| Provider enforcement | Warning, login challenge, feature restriction, suspension, ban. |
| Content or rights dispute | Takedown, complaint, rights-holder notice, licensing objection. |
| Legal rework | Release blocked or materially changed after review. |
| Regulatory / payment friction | Payment hold, platform refusal, jurisdiction issue, account freeze. |
| Counsel disagreement | Outside counsel later rejects or materially narrows Portia’s call. |
JAG clerks
| Clerk | Source | Scope | Access |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAG-LII | Cornell Legal Information Institute | U.S. Code, CFR, Supreme Court, Wex | Free/open legal reference |
| JAG-Listener | CourtListener | Caselaw, dockets, RECAP | Free/open legal research |
| JAG-Congress | Congress.gov | Bills, statutes, legislative history | Official federal source |
| JAG-GovInfo | GovInfo | Federal Register, CFR, slip laws, opinions | Official federal publications |
| JAG-Copyright | U.S. Copyright Office | Copyright registration, circulars, policy | Official copyright source |
| JAG-FairUse | Stanford Copyright & Fair Use Center | Fair use primers and teaching materials | Free academic reference |
| JAG-EFF | Electronic Frontier Foundation | DMCA, platform rights, digital civil liberties | Free advocacy/reference source |
Portia is an internal risk-triage predictor, not licensed outside counsel. Matters requiring attorney review remain attorney-gated.